Bitcoin yo-yos on US macro data amid call for BTC price to retest $17K

Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) flashed volatility at the Jan. 6 Wall Street open after fresh United States economic data disappointed risk-asset bulls.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Analyst: BTC price in line for $17,000 retest

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD dipping to $16,669 on Bitstamp around non-farm payrolls and unemployment figures.

Both those came in better than expected, with mixed implications for the Federal Reserve having room for maneuver when it comes to its continued tightening of monetary policy.

There may be some chance of relief for Bitcoin, crypto and the broader risk asset stage in the weeks and months to come, with interest rate hikes lessening in intensity.

“Expecting a test of $17k,” on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators wrote in part of a reaction on social media.

An accompanying chart presented the BTC/USD order book on largest global exchange Binance, with both bid and ask liquidity inching higher.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

Earlier, Cointelegraph had reported on the state of order book behavior showing continued ranging between $16,000 and $17,000 to be likely.

“Market was ready for a hot number after yesterday’s print, shorts unwinding after a quick impulse lower,” popular commentator Tedtalksmacro added about non-farm payrolls.

On unemployment, however, he was less positive, arguing that better-than-expected numbers may conversely embolden the Fed to continue a more restrictive approach.

“Not what bulls want to see for now – unemployment ticking lower the sticking point imo —> feeding higher rates for longer narrative,” he tweeted.

CPI bets favor Fed pace slackening

Beyond the U.S., inflation data from the European Union also boosted morale, showing a declining trend in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Related: ‘Big move brewing’ for BTC price? Bitcoin may stay flat, hints analyst

“Euro CPI comes in at 9.2%, while 9.6% was forecasted. This drops to 0.9% in a month, meaning inflation is cooling off,” Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, responded.

The U.S. CPI print for December 2022 is due next week, with expectations for the subsequent Fed rate hike currently skewed towards 25 basis points, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

U.S. stocks inched higher on the day, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 1% and 0.6%, respectively.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell in step, Its inverse correlation with crypto and stocks once again on display as it fell a full point to target 104.5 at the time of writing.

U.S. dollar index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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