BlackRock Bitcoin spot ETF nod ‘unlikely in near term’ — QCP Capital

Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) will unlikely see its first spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States soon.

That is the opinion of trading firm QCP Capital, which in its latest market update on June 22 warned over spot ETFs’ prospects.

SEC’s Gensler presents Bitcoin ETF roadblock

BTC price action has offered more than 20% gains since BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, applied to list a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF.

This would be the first of its kind, as all such spot ETF applications have been rejected so far by U.S. regulator, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

While institutional involvement in the Bitcoin space is destined to increase, QCP says, the current makeup of the SEC means that spot ETFs getting the go-ahead remains unlikely.

The picture is complicated by the current SEC Chair, Gary Gensler, under whose leadership the body delivered lawsuits against major crypto exchanges Binance and Coinbase.

“However with Gensler as head of the SEC, we are not confident of the actual ETF approval happening in the near-term,” it wrote in the update.

QCP’s perspective provides food for thought, especially, as researchers themselves note, as BlackRock has seen just one SEC rejection out of 576 applications so far.

“Nevertheless as we’ve continually maintained, there is a huge place for institutional BTC and ETH in the asset management world, and over the next months and years we will see further steps in that direction,” the update added.

GBTC return to strength continues

As Cointelegraph reported, knock-on effects from BlackRock have appeared beyond BTC price performance itself.

Related: Valkyrie joins rush with BTC spot ETF application to go with its futures, miners ETFs

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), having rebounded from its shares trading near 50% below BTC/USD, continues to make up lost ground.

On June 22, its discount to BTC spot, also known as discount to net asset value (NAV), reached its smallest levels of 2023 at 33.45%, according to data from monitoring resource CoinGlass.

QCP continued that its recent performance marked its “sharpest” recovery since late 2020, when Bitcoin broke out to beat its prior all-time highs from 2017.

GBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Magazine: Gary Gensler’s job at risk, BlackRock’s first spot Bitcoin ETF and other news: Hodler’s Digest, June 11–17

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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